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My Baseball Best Bet for Wednesday, 6/11/2008 was:

7:05 PM ET
MLB
Baltimore Orioles (Olson) at Boston Red Sox (Colon)
Best Bet #1: Boston Red Sox (listed pitchers) -170

Best Bet #2: Boston Red Sox (listed pitchers) RUN LINE -1.5 +120

The O’s took the series opener last night, 10-6. I expect Boston to bounce back in a big way tonight. Get this early before the lines go up. And don’t take the run line unless you can get + something (example: -1.5 +120).

Prior to last night, Baltimore was 14-20 on the road, batting .242 and scoring 4 RPG. Boston is 26-7 at home. Prior to last night, Boston was batting .298 at home (5.9 RPG). Also, prior to last night, Boston was a PERFECT 15-0 against the money line this season as a home favorite of -150 or more (average score: Boston 7.3, Opponents 3.2). This season (prior to last night), the Red Sox are also 20-4 in home games vs. AL teams scoring 4.7 or less RPG, 22-4 in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse, and 14-3 in home games vs. an AL team with an on-base percentage of .330 or worse. Boston has also won 14 of the last 19 at home in this series.The O’s send Garrett Olson to the hill. Olson owns a 5.23 ERA and 1.597 WHIP on the road this season. Olson is also 0-2 (team is 0-4) in his career starts vs. Boston, posting a 6.64 ERA and 1.869 WHIP. The four losses were by a combined 29-11. Boston is 9-2 vs. lefty starters this season, batting .304 with a .396 OBP and scoring 5.8 RPG.

Boston counters with Bartolo Colon. Colon has been decent, but this pick has nothing to do with Colon and everything to do with Boston’s success at home, Boston losing the series opener, Boston’s success against lefty starters, and Boston’s explosive offense going against a pitcher they enjoy facing. This game just sets up very well for the Red Sox.

Take Boston and Colon over Baltimore and Olson on BOTH LINES.

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Best of luck,
Dwayne Bryant
Bullseye Sports, The Trusted Source for Winning Sports Picks
www.bullseye-sports.com


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