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My Baseball Best Bet for Tuesday 6/24/2008 was:

7:05 PM ET
MLB
Arizona Diamondbacks (Davis) at Boston Red Sox (Masterson)
Best Bet #1: Boston Red Sox (listed pitchers) -180

Best Bet #2: Boston Red Sox (listed pitchers) RUN LINE -1.5 +110

Arizona’s Dan Haren out-dueled Boston’s Josh Beckett last night, giving the D’backs a 2-1 win. So Boston, 29-10 at home this season, has now lost three of their last four at Fenway. I do not expect the defending champs to lose a second straight series at home after they just dropped two of three here to St. Louis. Boston is 13-1 this season as a home favorite of -150 to -200 (average score: Boston 6.6, Opponents 3.1). Since 1997, Boston is 15-1 in home games vs. NL teams with a team batting average of .255 or worse (the loss came last night).

Boston holds a huge offensive edge in this series. The Red Sox managed just four (4) hits last night, so I expect some fireworks tonight. Prior to last night, Boston was third in MLB in batting average (.278), fourth in runs scored (396), second in on-base percentage (.353) and second in slugging percentage (.451). Boston is 11-3 vs. lefty starters this season, batting .288 and scoring 5.4 runs per game. The BoSox bat .291 at home and score 5.8 runs per game at Fenway.Prior to last night, Arizona was tied for 26th in MLB in batting average (.248). The D’backs are batting .218 on the road (3.9 runs per game) and .218 in interleague play (3.1 runs per game). Arizona was also batting just .229 (3.3 runs per game) over their last seven games prior to last night.

Arizona’s Doug Davis has some decent ERA numbers all the way around, but his WHIP is a bit high, especially on the road (1.77). Davis also has more walks (14) than strikeouts (11) on the road, where Arizona has lost three of his four starts. On the road, Davis allows a .297 batting average and a .407 on-base percentage.Boston’s Justin Masterson has made the most of his spot-start duties. In six starts, Masterson sports a 3.00 ERA and 1.08 WHIP, including a 2.59 ERA and 1.07 WHIP at home (team is 3-1). Masterson is holding opposing hitters to a .179 batting average and .290 on-base percentage. Masterson also has the advantage of facing Arizona for the first time.

Take Boston and Masterson over Arizona and Davis on BOTH LINES.
NOTE: Do NOT take the run line unless you’re getting AT LEAST +110.

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Best of luck,
Dwayne Bryant
Bullseye Sports, The Trusted Source for Winning Sports Picks
www.bullseye-sports.com


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